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What’s the Avg return on SPY this week
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Historically, the S&P 500 (SPY) tends to perform slightly bullish during the week of the 4th of July, aided by light holiday trading volume and seasonal optimism.
Historical Performance – July 4th Week
Based on multiple sources and historical data (including StockTradersAlmanac, EquityClock, and LPL Research):
Time Period | Average Return | % of Positive Weeks |
Since 1950 | +0.52% | ~66% |
Last 10 Years | +0.40% | 7 out of 10 |
Since 2000 | +0.37% | ~63% |
Key Trends:
First trading day of July is historically strong.
Positive bias tends to peak the day before July 4th.
Post-holiday Friday often sees muted or flat trading.
Light volume can lead to exaggerated moves both ways.
Summary:
SPY Typical Move: ~+0.4% to +0.6% average gain
Odds of Gain: ~60–66%
Best Day: Often the trading day before the holiday
Keeping this in mind, yesterday I played SPY calls and had a strong day and the goal is to do the same today.
What are you trading this week?
What’s your main trading focus this week? |
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