NVDA Going Higher or Lower on Earnings đŸ”„

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August 27, 2025

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“NOW is the perfect time to target 1,000%+ gains (within days or hours) with this under $2 trade”

~Millionaire Trader Nate Bear

*note: trading is hard, results not guaranteed and should not be expected to be replicated typically.

Nate’s #1 Lotto Trade Idea: TODAY @ 2PM ET

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Wednesday’s FREE CHAT ROOM lineup (EST subject to change):

  • 9 - 10 AM: Jason Bond – Premarket scans, small cap gap trades & new SAJ trades

  • 10 - 11AM: Jeff Williams – Market Navigator SPY Trade of the Day (Part 2)

  • 12 - 1PM: Kenny Glick – “The Warlock’s” LIVE trades

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  • 3 - 4 PM: Jeff Williams – Swing Trades, Momentum Setups, Breakouts

First off, I hope you watched my RUN idea yesterday. The calls on RUN ran about 20% out of the gate and closed strong. Hoping for another big day here today on RUN but the big question today is, will NVDA beat or miss on earnings?

What’s Expected for Nvidia (NVDA) Earnings Today

Nvidia is set to report its fiscal Q2 2026 earnings today, August 27, 2025, after U.S. markets close.

Here are the key expectations and market context:

Consensus Estimates

  • Earnings per share (EPS) – Analysts expect around $1.01 EPS, representing approximately +48–49% year-over-year growth.

  • Revenue – Forecasts point to about $46.0 billion, a ~53% year-over-year increase.

Other sources suggest slightly different figures, such as $45.97 billion and $0.935 EPS, but the consensus remains closer to the $1 / $46B estimates.

Key Focus Areas

  • AI demand: Nvidia’s performance continues to be viewed as a leading indicator for the AI boom and broader tech rally.

  • China exposure: Trade restrictions have impacted earnings—analysts expect up to $8 billion in China-related headwinds this quarter.

  • Market sensitivity: Implied options data signals a potential ~6% swing in market value, equivalent to ~0.9% movement for the S&P 500, depending on results.

Market Sentiment and Stakes

  • Nvidia is the largest public company (~$4 trillion valuation) and represents ~8% of the S&P 500, making its earnings report especially market-sensitive.

  • If results exceed expectations, it could bolster the AI-driven rally; if it disappoints, it could spark wider tech sector volatility.

While I won’t be trading NVDA options into earnings, I do feel this could be a HUGE market mover tomorrow morning, so be sure to be watching.

My piggy back thought is that SPY will run higher today and will be lead by NVDA pushing towards $185 or higher. That being said, I’ll be looking for SPY calls this morning as a morning trade idea.

Jeff Williams

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