Attention Walmart shoppers đź‘€

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August 19, 2025

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Good morning all and Happy Tuesday,

This week is packed with retail sales earnings such as Home depot, Target, TJMax, BJs and more. There is one that stands out above the rest to me. 

Best Retail Stock Leading into This Week’s Earnings

Walmart (WMT) is arguably the most compelling retail stock to monitor this week, for several solid reasons:

  • Technically poised: Walmart stock is hovering near all-time highs and is retesting a buy signal, making it technically attractive for traders.

  • Strong fundamentals: The company recently delivered its first profitable U.S. e-commerce quarter, with a 21% increase in e-commerce sales. Same-store sales in the U.S. rose 4.5%, while Sam’s Club saw a 6.7% uptick—solid indicators of underlying consumer demand

  • Manageable expectations: Analysts are expecting about 9% earnings growth and 4% revenue growth—reasonable targets that Walmart is positioned to hit or exceed.

  • Broader retail context: Along with Walmart, other major retailers like Home Depot, Target, Lowe’s, TJX, Ross, and BJ’s are reporting this week—reports that will collectively offer a barometer for consumer health and inflation pressures. 

  • Market sentiment: Retailers are expected to deliver strong Q2 results on the back of resilient consumer spending; analysts favor broadline value retailers—like Walmart—for outperforming amid economic uncertainty.

Final Take

If you're looking for the best retail stock to watch or potentially position ahead of this week’s earnings, Walmart offers the most compelling mix of technical opportunity, operational resilience, and analyst support. That said, Home Depot, Target, Lowe’s, and TJX are also key names to monitor as they will shape the broader narrative for consumer spending and inflation sentiment.

Please keep in mind that I am long the WMT Sept 5 $99 call options right now and looking for a sell before Thursday morning earnings report. 

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Tuesday’s FREE CHAT ROOM lineup (EST subject to change):

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